SEASONALITY MAP

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
8. Also, as the seasonality map shows: shorter-term, things tend to level out around this time of the year

CRUDE OIL

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
CRUDE OIL ON WEEKLY RANGE, WE HAVE  TWO  POSSIBILITIES, THE MAIN COUNT ASSUMES, THE LOW OF SUPERCYCLE WAVE TWO IN PLACE, AND CORRECTION HAD FINSHED AT 40 SUB-ZERO
ALTERNATE COUNT ASSUMES SPIKE TO THE DOWNSIDE IS THE THIRD INTERMEDIATE WAVE OF THE PRIMARY WAVE FIVE OF C CYCLE WAVE OF SUPERCYCLE WAVE TWO, IT MEANS  THERE IS A NEW LOW BELOW 40 SUB- ZERO
BUT I HAVE RESRVATION ABOUT THIS SCENARIO, WHICH IS THAT THE FOURTH WAVE‘S CORRECTION IS OVERRATED AND IS NOT OVER YET
ON THE OTHER HAND, WHEN REOPENING MAJOR ECONOMIES DO WE BELIEVE THAT WE ARE FACING COLLAPSE IN OIL DEMAND? ESPECIALLY AFTER OPEC+ DECIDED IN APRIL TO CUT OUTPUT BY A RECORD 9.7 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY, AS WE NOTED THIS PROCEDURES COMBINED WITH ARECORD DECLINE IN OUTPUT FROM NON MEMBERS SUCH AS THE UNITED STATES HELPED TO LIFT OIL PRICES TOWARD $36

DOLLAR INDEX

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
DOLLAR INDEX HAS ENDED THE MINOR WAVE TWO AT97.95 IF THE WAVE X OF DOUBLE ZIGZAG ENDED AT 100.53(   MEASUREMENT OF THE WIDE RIB OR SIDE OF TRIANGLE.
BUT IF WAVE X ENDED AT 99.98 I DO THINK THE FIRST LEG OF ABC CORRECTION OF WAVE Y HAS COMPLETED,AND DOLLAR GONNA BOUNCE BACK  TO ROUGHLY 99 THEN HEADING DOWN TOWARDS, MOST LIKELY  96.5-95.95 RANGE

#SP500

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Now 94% of the SPX above their 50-day moving averages. 43%
above their 200-day. See late Jan 2019?..... SPY

David Keller

NASDAQ100,APPLE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
I DO THINK NDX100, DISPELLED DOUBT WITH CERTAINTY,THAT WE‘RE IN A LARGE CORRECTION, BUT NOW THE INDEX IS VERY CLOSE TO  A NEW ALL TIME HIGH  AND STILL HAVE A BULLISH  UPSIDE TARGETS, REMEMBER NDX100 IS LEADING THE MARKETS NOW
NDX100 IS NOT THE ONLY SIGN ON THE NEW TREND HAS COMMENCED AND THE INTERMEDIATE WAVE FIVE  IN ADVANCE, BUT  THE SYCLICAL STOCKS LIKE APPLE AS SHOWN IN SECOND CHART OR, GOOGLE,AMAZON AND MICROSOFT FAVOR THE BULLISH  PERSPECTIVE FOR MARKETS
BUT ACCORDING TO OUR  ANALYSIS AS SHOWN ON THE CHARTS, INDEX AND APPLE CORRECTION IS IN PLACE AS WAVE TWO, OR THE TOP IS AT HAND
, THERE IS ONE LAST POINT THAT I LIKE TO POINT OUT, WHICH IS THAT THE NDX100 AND APPLE HAVE CHANGED THEIR DIRCTION IN THE THE MEDIUM TERM BASED ON ASTRONG CLASSIC PATTERN WHICH IS INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS,IT COULD HIT 11000 IN NDX100, AND $365IN APPLE

كل عام وانتم بخير بمناسبه عيد الفطر المبارك

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم
كل عام والامه الاسلاميه  فى مشارق الارض ومغاربها بخير بمناسبه عيد الفطر المبارك
اعاده الله علينا جميعا بالخير واليمن والبركات

GOLD UPDATE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
GOLD IS  STILL EQUIVOCATING, BUT I DO THINK  THIS COUNT IS VERY SUITABLE FOR HIS MANNER, INTERMEDIATE WAVE TOW IS MOST LIKELY  EXTANDED FLAT CORRECTION , SO WAVE C SHOLD BE MAKE  ITS LOW  BELOW WAVE A AT 1660, IF IT DOSNT.....  CORRECTION IS CALLED RUNNING FLAT

$USD NEEDS TO WEAKEN

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
IF THE USD DOSN’T WEAKEN SOON, IT MAY TURN INTO A HEADACHEFOR THE FED AS THEY RISK FACING A COCCKTAIL OF A STRONG USD AND SUBSTANTIAL DISINFLATION .

DOW JONES UPDATE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
I DO THINK DOW JONES  HAS COMPLETED  THE MINOR WAVE TOW AS A ZIGZAG PATTERN AT 22800  AS SHOWN  ON THE CHART
I DO THINK DOWHAS BEGUN THIRD WAVE A STRONG START ON THE MININ FRAMES

DOW JONES

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
DJI ON HOURLY CHART, ACCORDING TO MY PRIMARY SCENARIO DJIA HAS  COMMENCED  INTERMEDIAT WAVE FIFE AFTER PRICE BOTTOMED AT 18100 M NOW I DO THINK MINOR WAVE ONE TOPPED AT 24700 AND CORRECTION  IN PLACE AS WAVE TOW , MOST LIKELY 20500-21500-RANGE IS THE TARGET

APPLE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
APPLE SHARE ON DAILY CHART, ,WE HAVE VALID  INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS POTENTIALLY UPSIDE TARGET IS $365,
SHARE IN OVERBOUGHT TERRITORIES, SO PROFIT TAKING MAY BE IMMINENT

GBP vs USD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
GBP/USD HOURLLY CHART,AFTER STERLING HAS COPLETED  CYCLE WAVE II
STERLING IS RISING IN IMPULSIVE MANNER, NOW WAVE FOUR IS UNDERWAY , IS FORMING AS A TRIANGLE, I ANTICIPATE WAVE FIVE HITS 1.2744 MIGHTBE MORE IF WAVE FIVE IS PROLONGED 

سهم التجارى الدولى

بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم
تحليل طويل الاجل لسهم  البنك لبتجارى لبورصه مصر ، حيث لدينا سيناريو اساسى يفترض ان السهم يصحح على فريم البريميرى  و ان الهبوط الاخير الحاد كان موجه دافعه مكونه من خمس موجات كموجه C من موجه فلات ممتدعلى فريم الانترميديتمن الموجه الخامسه بريميرى الممتده من منتصف 2013  وقد تنتهى هذه الموجه الرابعه انترميديت عند حدود 47 جنيه وربما اقل اذا كانت الموجه الخامسه مينيت من C مينورممتده
اما السيناريو البديل : هو ان يكون الترند الصاعد قد انتهى عند قمه 85.19 بتاريخ 19/1/2020 وان سلوك الموجه الدافعه الذى حدث فى الهبوط هو بدايه ترند هابط على فريم السيكل من المنتظر ان تكتمل الموجه الخامسه له عند الحدود المذكوره سابقا عند 47 ليتم تكوين موجه اولى على فريم الانترميديت   ومن المنتظر فى هذه الحاله ان يدخل السهم فى تصحيح كبير زمنيا وسعريا لان التصحيح الحالى يعنى اننا فى موجه ثانيه سيكل خصوصا وان الجاب هى جاب انفصاليه فى بدايه ترند هابط قد تعنى ان التصحيح زمنيا وسعريا قد يمتد ، وان المنطقه المستهدفه قد تكون ما بين 10-12 جنيه

GOLD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
GOLD ,HOURLY CHART, GOLD AFTER FINSHED FIVE WAVES UP STILL SIDEWAYS BETWEEN 1750-1660, I SAID BEFORE INTERMEDIATE WAVE (1) OF PRIMARY WAVE THREE TOPPED AT 1750 AND CORRECTION OF INTERMEDIATE WAVE (2) IS UNDERWAY, GOLF COMPLETED MINOR WAVE A AT LOW OF 1660  AND MINOR WAVE B IN ADVANCE AS A TRIANGLE ,SO EXPECT MORE OF TIDE SIDEWAY MOVEMENT BETWEEN 1680-1720 THEN, EXPECTDECLINE TO 15757-1625

USD vs TRY

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
USD/TRY WEEKLY RANGE, THE PAIR  IS UNFOLDING OF IMPULSIVE MANNER,NOW  THE PRIMARY WAVE FIVE  UNDERWAY WHICH COULD HIT 7.5-7.6 RANGE

AMAZON

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
AMAZON SHARES ON DAILY CHART.MAIN COUNT  ASSUMES THAT INTERMEDIATE WAVE (4) COMPLETED AS AN IRRUGULARE FLAT  ENDED AT LOW OF $1626 AND AMAZON HAS COMMENCED INTERMEDIATE WAVE FIVE,I DO THINK AMAZON  ON THE CUSP OF ENDING  MINOR WAVE ONE OF INTERMEDIATE WAVE FIVE

BUY THE DIP AND SELL THE RIP

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
HEDGE FUND POSITIONING IN S&P500 FUTURES TRANSITIONING FROM A BUY THE DIP TO A SELL THE RIP REGIME

DOW JONES

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
THE DOW JONES , ON DAILY CHART,  I DO THINK MY PRIMARY COUNT IS STILL VALID ,THAT THE INTERMEDIATE WAVE FOUR IS IN PLACE AT LOW 18200 AND DOW HAS COMMENCED INTERMEDIATE WAVE FIVE , MINOR WAVE ONE OF INTERMEDIATE FIFTH WAVE TOPPED AT 24765, SO WAVE TOW  IS UNDERWAY WHICH HIT 21500-20700 RANGE, THIS COUNT INVALIDATION WHEN PRICES CLOSE BELOW 18200, IF THAT HAPPENSE WE MOVE TO THE ALTERNATIVE COUNT,WHICH ASSUMES THAT THE GRAND CYCLE WAVE THREE TOPPED AT HIGH OF 29600 AND THE MINOR WAVE ONE  IN PLACE AT LOW OF 18200 , AND WAVE TOW  AT HAND OR MAYBE IN PLACE AT 24765