How concentrated are bitcoin holdings
2021-05-31
COMMODITIES
'Commodities are the most overbought since the 1970s
YIELDS vs S&P 500
Higher US 10-year Treasury yields would weigh on US equities
RUSSELL 2000
AS WE SEE ON THE CHART ABOV, RUSSELL 2000 INDEX IS STILL ONGOING A SIDEWAYS AS A TRIANGLE TO CORRECT THE MINUTTE FOURTH WAVE (GREY (iv)) ACCORDING TO OUR MAIN SCENARIO THAT SUGGESTES THAT THE MINUTTE FOURTH WAVE ENDED AT THE LOW OF 2132 AND THE FIFTH WAVE HAS COMMENCED, BREAKOUT ABOVE THE KEY LEVEL 2309 WE‘LL CONTINUE TO LOOK HIGHER TO COMPLETE THE FIFTH(GREY (v)) OF THE THIRD MINUTE WAVE(CIRCLED GREEN)
ALTERNATIVELY, THE THIRD MINUTE WAVE ( ORANGE) ENDED UP AT 2360, AND THE FOURTH WAVE IS UNDERWAY, MOST LIKELY IT‘S A TRIANGLE AS WELL
I DO THINK , HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP WILL FAIL ACCORDING TO ELLIOTT SCENARIOS, AND REVERSE BULLISH DIVERGENCE IS DOING WELL
NOTICE THAT THE REVERSE DIVERGENCE( APPEAR IN UPTREND WHEN THE INDICATOR MAKES A SERIES OF LOWER LOWS BUT PRICE MAKES A SERIES OF HIGHER OR THE SAME LOWS) IS STRONGER OR MORE RELIABLE THAN NORMAL DIVERGENCE
2021-05-29
US COMMODITY PRICE INDEX
CURRENCY DEBASEMENT CYCLES $GLD
US MARKET CYCLES
This chart puts into perspective the typical phases of the US equity market since 1973
2021-05-28
MARKET STABILITY
Is the possibility of rising inflation and bond yields the biggest risk right now?
INFLATION
The measure of inflation most watched by the Fed surges to the highest since 1992. U.S. personal consumption expenditure core price index
2021-05-27
ETH vs USD
DESPITE ETHEREUM FORMED A VERY BEARISH PATTERN IS CALLED V- TOP NOCHTED ITS TARGET AT ROUGHLY 2000, BUT IT IS STILL ABOVE 200 MA BY FAR
2021-05-26
GLOBAL RISK SCENARIOS
The sky will remain blue, unless one of these clouds causes a storm
USD vs CNY(CHINA‘S YUAN)
The U.S. dollar has fallen to the weakest versus China’s yuan in three years
2021-05-25
HOW TESLA MAKES ITS MONEY
#Tesla! Their recent earnings report was pretty interesting. But, I must admit, still pretty hard to follow. This fantastic datavisualisation from Chartr which really shed some light
DAX (GERMANY STOCK INDEX)
DAX HAS BEEN FORMING A DEEP CRAB SELL PATTERN, THE CONVERGANCE OF THE 1.618 XA AND THE 2.618 BC CLEARY DEFINE LIMIT OF THE PRZ BETWEEN 16800-17200
2021-05-24
MARKET CAP
Following the recent plunge in cryptocurrency prices, cross-asset consequences have been mild, despite the global cryptocurrency market size
10Y BOND YIELDS
Bond yields are low given current CPI, suggesting that the rise of inflation is temporary
2021-05-22
S&P 500‘S PRICE RETURN
Don't forget, stock gains are made mostly after hours
TECH OUTFLOW
Tech funds saw their largest outflow since December 2018. Should investors dump tech stocks in favor of cyclicals
2021-05-21
ECONOMIC EXPANSIONS
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Economic cycles of growth can last many years, with an average of more than five years
S&P 500 vs REAL EARNINGS YIELD
S&P 500 vs Negative Real Earnings Yield
2021-05-20
SECULAR BULL MARKET
The secular bull market is still intact for the time being, as 2020 marked a 7-year "halftime" low, similar to 1987 and 1957
USD vs JPY
THE UPTREND IS STILL PLAYING A KEY SUPPORT, BUT FROM ASCENDING CHANNEL IT SEEMS TO BE WEAKNESS IN THE COUNTER TREND RALLY SUGGESTS THAT THE 107.47 LEVEL COULD BREAKDOWN TO HIT 105-106 RANGE
SO PLACE UR STOP LOSS BELOW 107.47
2021-05-19
BTC vs USD
LET THE CHART SPEAK, FORGET ABOUT ELON MUSK OR IMPACT OF A DIRECTED MASS MEDIA, AND BEAR IN MIND NO ONE ABLE TO AFECT ON MARKET,AND IF THERE IS ANY EFFECT, IT IS LIMITED, DOES NOT EXCEED A CHANGE OF DIRECTION IN THE NEAR TERM ,THEN PRICES SOON BACK TO ITS ORIGINAL DIRECTION IN LONGER TERM
PERHAPS MANY ARE SHOCKED BY WHAT IS HAPPENING IN BETCOIN AND DONT BELIEVE THAT BETCOIN COLLAPSES IN THIS WAY, BUT FROM EWP PERSPECTIVE
IT MAKE SENSE TO ME, AND I HAVE ANTICIPATED THIS SELL OFF SINCE 24/4/2021 AS I MENTIONED EARLIER. IT WAS VERY SIMPLE, WE HAVE 2 GUIDELINES REALTED TO THAT MATTER,THE FIRST IS ,WHEN THE PATTERN IS AN ENDING DIGONAL (RISING WEDGE) DECLINE WILL BE SHARP AND SWIFT BRINGS PRICES AT LEAST BACK TO THE ORIGIN POINT OF THE PATTERN
THE SECOND ONE IS:- THE FOURTH WAVE CORRECTION USUALLY REACH INTO THE PREVIOUS FOURTH WAVE OF ONE LESSER DEGREE).29000--41000, IN MANY TIMES DEPTH OF THE FOURTH WAVE CORRECTION ENDS NEAR THE LEVEL OF PREVIOUS FOURTH WAVE OF ONE LESSER DEGREE MOST COMMNLY NEAR THE LEVEL OF ITS TERMINUS
PLZ TAKE A LOOK AT THAT POST ON 24/4/2021
2021-05-18
ROTATION FROM BITCOIN TO GOLD
Rotation from bitcoin to gold
GAME STOP
GAME STOP AFTER COMLETION OF THREE WAVES UP , FORMED A CONTRACTING TRIANGLE AS WAVE FOUR, SO WE EXPECT FURTHER RALLY CERTAINLY BACK TO BEYOND HIGH OF 483, MAYBE ALL THE WAY UP TO 650
؟ OKAY WHERE AM I WRONG
WELL, IM WRONG IF PRICE FALL BELOW 116.90
2021-05-17
US CPI vs DPI
Some data behind April's surprise jump in consumer prices, which was the biggest year-over-year rise since 2008: Stimulus checks helped push March disposable personal income to a record high, about 30% above its pre-Covid level, via Cornerstone Macro research
#GOLD
GOLD FACES CLUSTERS OF RESISTANC ROUGHLY AT $1860, BUT I DO THINK IT IS ABLE TO CONTINUE MOVING UP TO HIT THE NEXT UPWARD TARGET AT $1900 THEN $1960, ESPECIALLY WHEN GOLD CLOSED ABOVE $1755 AND CONFIRMED THE UPTREND IN LONGER TERM, ON THE OTHER HAND DOLLAR CONTINUE TO EDGE LOWER AFTER LOSING GROUND SINCE TOP OF 93.47
EVENTUALLY, GOLD MAY BE FORMING A GRAND COMPLEX INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS
2021-05-15
2021-05-12
كل عام وكل المسلمين بخير بمناسبه عيد الفطر
كل عام والامه الاسلاميه بكل خير تقبل الله طاعتكم واعاد عليكم العيد بالخير والبركات , وكل عام والمسجد الاقصى محرر من ايدى احفاد القرده والخنازير واخوانا فى فلطسين اشرف من انجبت الامه محررين وسيبقى العيد عيدين باذن الله يوم ان يعود الاقصى لنا وتتحرر فلسطين من ايدى الارهاب الصهونى
اللهم امين
TECH STOCKS
BofA's clients are selling tech stocks after record inflows
RETURN
Compared to large- and small-caps, mid-caps tend to deliver better returns
2021-05-11
GROWTH vs VALUE
Growth continues to trade above its historical average vs. Value
GOOGL SEARCH FOR INFLATION IN THE US
GOOGL SEARCH FOR INFLATION IN THE US
NASDAQ 100
IT SEEMS A RISING WEDGE,IF SO..... EXPECT DEEP CORRECTION
REVERSAL USUALLY BRINGS PRICES AT LEAST BACK TO THE ORIGIN OF THE PATTERN (10700-11000) RANGE AND USUSALLY FAR FURTHER
2021-05-10
GDP
Goldman Sachs expects US economic growth to peak at 10.5% this quarter
US DOLLAR
Asset managers and non-commercial traders continue to increase their net short positions in the US dollar
2021-05-08
SPAC VOLUME IN EUROPE
Just to put things into perspective: #SPAC volume in Europe has significantly lagged behind US. US has seen unprecedented SPAC boom since 2020, w/522 SPAC listings w/total value of $300bn since 2020. In contrast, Europe has seen 10 SPAC listings w/total value of $1.3bn. (via GS)
DEBT
Will rising debt lead to higher inflation and higher yields?
2021-05-07
CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKETS
Crypto trading volumes are increasing, as more investors seek more speculative assets
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
The US unemployment rate recovery is following a path unlike any recession since World War II
2021-05-06
10 YIELD AND DOLLAR
So far, the 10-year yield and the dollar continue to follow the historical pattern after global recoveries
BITCOIN
Are investors hesitant to put new money into Bitcoin funds?
DOGE vs USD
AS WE HAVE NOTICED ON THE CHART ABOVE , THE DOGECOINE SKYROCKETED LATELY AND EXTENDED UPWARD TO 2.24 (FIBONACCI EXTENSION) AT 0.68027,PRICE ACTION IS PULLINGBACK ,I THINK TO 0.4960 BEFORE RESUMING THE UPWARD MOVE TO THE NEXT TARGET AT 0.75075
WATECH THE BEARISH DIVERGENVE ON RSI ,BUT WAIT FOR PRICE TO CONFIRM THE BEARISH DIVERGENCE BY BRAKSDOWN THE RANGE OF 0.4150-0.4250 BEFORE GET OUT THE TRADE COMPLETELY OR PARTLY
2021-05-05
GLOBAL EQUITIES
The total global market cap of all public equities is at an all-time high of $113 Tn. But is the world better off economically than pre-pandemic?
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