This chart shows just how historically low long-term and short-term interest rates are
2021-07-31
STOCKS
Stocks tend to outperform bonds over the long term
2021-07-30
GDP
A faster vaccination program and greater fiscal and monetary support in the US help explain why the economic recovery in the Eurozone is expected to lag behind the US
AAPLE
AAPLE IS FORMING A BEARISH CRAB PATTERN THAT COMPLETE IN RANGE OF $160-$163
2021-07-29
GOLD vs INFLATION
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Is gold an inflation hedge? The market share of gold against M2 money supply tends to increase in periods of inflation
DOW JONES
MANY CLASSICAL PATTERNS APPEARED ON DJIA‘S CHART LIKE INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS(NOTHING TO REVERSE) INTO RIGHT ANGLED AND DESCENDING BROADENDING FORMATION, THE UPWARD BREAKOUT WORKS ABOUT 64% AND PARTIAL DECLINE IS LIKELY FAVOR THE UPWARD BREAKOUT
HOWEVER 35000 IS KEY RESISTANCE ,SHOULD BE BREACHED IF DOW JONES WANNA TO KEEP MOVING UP TO HIT NEARLY 38000
2021-07-28
VIX vs SP500
The simultaneous rise in the VIX and the S&P 500 is unusual and a red flag
CRUDE OIL
NO DOUBT, IT SEEMS A HAZY PICTURE ON CRUDE OIL CHART, WE WERE NEED TO CLEAR FIVE WAVES DOWN TO SAY THE PEAK WAS IN PLACE, , BUT THE OVERLAPPING BETWEEN THE FOURTH WAVE AND THE FIRST WAVE OPEN THE DOOR FOR MANY POSSIBILITIES LIKE THE IMPLUSIVE ADVANCE THAT HAS STARTED SINCE APRIL 2020 HAS NOT COMPLETED YET , AND THE LAST CORRECTION WAS THE FOURTH OF FIFTH WAVE, SO THE KEY LEVEL $75.5 VERY IMPORTANT TO CONFIRM THIS COUNT
ON THE OTHER HAND THE LAST CORRECTION WAS THE W WAVE OF DOUBLE ZIGZAG CORRECTION, AND THE BOUNCE IS THE X WAVE THAT MAY COMPLETE IN RANGE OF 72.5-74.5
2021-07-27
S&P 500 EPS
The recovery is marked by the shortest US recession on record and the fastest return to EPS highs
BTC vs USD
WE HAVE TWO POSSIBLE INTERPRETIONS FOR BITCOIN, THE MAIN ONE AS ILLUSTRATED IN CHART 1 , THE MINOR WAVE FOUR HAS ENDED AT $29247 AS AN EXPANDED FLAT CORRECTION AND THE FIFTH WAVE HAS JUST COMMENCED, BITCOIN SHOULD MAKE A NEW TIME HIGH ABOVE 64800 TO CONFIRM THIS COUNT
ALTERNATIVELY AS SHOWN IN CHART 2, MINOR WAVE THREE COMPLETED AT $64829 AND THE FIVE WAVES DOWN WAS ONLY THE FIRST LEG OF CORRECTION AS WAVE A, AND WAVE B IS UNFOLDING MOSTLY AS ZIGZAG CORRECTION WHICH IS LIKELY COMPLETE IN RANGE OF 51000-57000, THEN ONE MORE PUSH DOWN TO COMPLETE WAVE C OF FOURTH WAVE, LIKELY IN RANGE 15000-21000
NOTICE :- WE‘RE HERE TAKING ABOUT COMMON RETRACEMENT BETWEEN WAVES A,C C= A ( IN ZIGZAG CORRECTION)
HOWEVER THIS CANT PREVENT THE LENGTH OF WAVE C TO BE MORE OR LESS THAN WAVE A. LIKE 0.61 OR 1.618 TIMES THE LENGTH OF WAVE A (NOT UNCOMMONLY)
2021-07-26
NASDAQ 100
Will the NASDAQ 100 continue to outperform the S&P 500
US DEBT
US debt per capita is surging, reaching the current level of $82,000
2021-07-24
US DOLLAR
Will the safe-haven US dollar continue to rise amid Delta COVID variant outbreak?
2021-07-19
EID AL- ADHA
feast of sacrifice for the sake of God, and this holiday is also a memory of the story of Abraham when he wanted to sacrifice his son Ismail in accordance with God’s order, so Muslims approach God on this day by sacrificing one of the ostriches (sheep, cow, or camel) and distributing the meat of the sacrifice to relatives, the poor and the people of his home, hence his name is Eid al-Adha.
Send congratulations to the Islamic and Arab nation on the occasion of the blessed Eid Al-Adha, and we pray that God will bring it back to us and you with goodness, love and blessings
S&P 500
SEEMS TO ME S$P 500 HAS COMPLETED 5 WAVES UP ADVANCE SINCE MARCH LOW 2020
WE NEED ONLY 5 WAVES DOWN , TO SAY THE TOP IS IN PLACE AND CORRECTION UNDRWAY AS INTERMEDIATE WAVE 2
NOTICE, SHARP CORRECTIONS LIKE WAVE 2 TEND MORE OFTEN TO RETRACE 50% OR 61.8% OF THE PREVIOUS WAVE, SO RANGE OF 3000-3300 IS THE NEXT DOWNTARGET OF THIS WAVE
EUR/USD
EUR/USD could drop again, as core inflation in the US has increased
RETURNS
Since 1900, equities have significantly outperformed bonds across the western world
2021-07-17
CRYPTO HOLDERS
Crypto bag holders are down $1Tn since the top
S&P 500
Goldman Sachs still forecasts 14% rise in 2021 for the S&P 500 and 7% in 2022
YIELD BOND VOLUME
This chart shows US HY bond sales by use of proceeds. Companies have been locking in record-low financing costs this year, pushing issuance to a record.
2021-07-16
FED
Will the Fed announce QE tapering at the Jackson Hole conference?
DOW JONES
Dow jumps above 35,000 as retail sales top expectations. Retail sales rose 0.6% in June, as the economy reopened more broadly and auto dealers navigated supply disruptions. Economists were expecting another decrease after May's 1.3% drop
FINANCIAL SECTOR
FINANCIAL SECTOR, SINCE MARCH LOW, I DO THINK IT IS HEADING UP IN FIVE WAVES UP SEQUENCE
SECTOR HAS COMPLETED THREE WAVES UP SO FAR, AND WAVE FOUR IS UNDERWAY, MORE LIKELY AS A TRAINGLE (LOOKING AT SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT) , BARRING A CLOSE BELOW 36 WE‘LL ALLOW FOR HIGHER TOWARDS 39-41 RANGE
2021-07-15
STOCK BUYBACKS
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Stock buybacks remain elevated, which is good news for stocks
HOUSEHOLD DEBT
Household debt ranges from 5% of GDP in Argentina to 131% of GDP in Switzerland
REAL INTEREST RATES
2/2 Negative real interest rates seem to be the preferred solution so far
CRUDE OIL
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
CRUDE OIL , SIDEWAYS TRADE FROM $77 LIKELY REPRESENTS A MINUTTE FOURTH WAVE CORRECTION OF MINUTE FIFTH WAVE OF IMPLUSIVE ADVANCE THAT HAS BEEN STARTING FROM LOW OF $33.65
ANOTHER PUSH HIGHER IN WAVE (V), MIGHT APPROACH THE MEASURED OBJECTIVE IN $79- $81 RANGE
2021-07-14
US DOLLAR
Asset managers and non-commercial traders continue to decrease their net short positions in the US dollar
FMS INVESTORS
Have global corporate profits peaked?
DOGECOIN
DOGECOIN IS STILL UNFOLDING AS A TRIANGLE, OVER THE NEXT TWO MONTHS
MOST LUKE;Y, IN THAT VASE LEVE; SUPPORT OF 58 SHOULD BE TESTED
2021-07-13
PUBLIC DEBT
Public debt as a percentage of GDP in 20 advanced economies has just surpassed the WWII level After WWII excess debt was inflated away with double digits negative real rates. How will the problem get solved this time
PRICE / SALES RATIO
Tech price/sales ratio at 1999/2000 peak bubble level, S&P 500 p/s ratio significantly higher But of course this time it’s different, isn’t it
EUR vs USD
ON EURO CHART, THE SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT IS STILL DOMINATING
DESPITE, THE EMERGENCE OF HEAD AND SGOULDERS INTO A SYMMTERICAL TRIANGLE, BUT THESE PATTERN ARE STILL FORMING
OPEN UR EYE ON THE 1.1711 FIRSTLY , THEN 1.1612
BREAKDOWN 1.1711 MEANS . THE UPTREND SINCE MARCH LOWS 2020 HAS COMPLETED
(FIVE WAVES UP ADVANCE IN EWP PERSPECTIVE)
AND CORRECTION HAS TAKEN PLACE
ON THE OTHER HAND, CLOSE ABOVE 1.2267 MEANS ,ONE MORE PUSH UP AS FIFTH WAVE
2021-07-12
MARKTES
Is the US reflation trade still alive?
US BUSINESS CYCLE
This business cycle indicator reflects a stronger than expected recovery in the US
APPLE
APPLE FORMED A SYMM,ETRICAL TRIANGLE, WHICH COMPLETED AT £130 TO UPWARD TARGET NEARLY $170
2021-07-07
STOCK MARKET
Is there a good chance that the US stock market will be higher at the end of this year?
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