WILL THE STERLING REMAINS ABOVE THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT AT1.1412
2022-08-26
2022-08-25
ECB
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Do you believe the ECB will continue hiking long after the FederalReserve stopped?
Do you believe the ECB will hike by 184 basis points between now and July next year and the Fed by 128 basis points?
EUROPE NG& ELECTRICITY PRICE
t happened! We had to 're-scale' the Eurozone NaturalGas and electricity prices chart!
My guess is that 'peak pain' is now and not during this winter, with storage rising quickly. Alternatives are most expensive now but will become cheaper as sources broaden
2022-08-24
VALUATION FLASH
Earnings expectations are too upbeat, even without energy!
GLOBAL INFLATION
s global inflation close to peaking?
2022-08-23
US DOLLAR INDEX
The USD is spiking again, with the US Dollar Index reaching its highest level in 20 years.
A stronger US Dollar means tighter financial conditions. The question is it it is enough for the FederalReserve to keep the dream of an early 'pivot' alive
ENERGY SECTOR
Energy (XLE) just broke out of its inverse H&S pattern.
Not a good sign for the stock market in the short-term.
2022-08-19
US RETAIL SALES
Last month’s retail sales surprised to the upside. Here are the contributions to the headline figure, with gasoline pulling spending lower due to lower prices rather than reduced purchases.
S&P 500 REVENUES
How much the new tax will affect corporate behavior may depend largely on whether sales hold up. So far, they have. /3
2022-08-18
2022-08-17
ETF FUND FLOWS
A whopping 7.5 Billion Dollars. That’s the largest 3-month outflow in the history from sector ETF funds.
Are investors are moving to an individual stock selection approach?
2022-08-16
LABOR MARKET
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
US continuing jobless claims remain low
EQUITY
Consolidated equity positioning is in the 15th percentile
2022-08-15
2022-08-12
AMAZON
Amazon's AWS revenue in 2021 ($62 billion) was higher than the revenue of 448 companies in the S&P 500.
TECH FLOWS
Will investors' love of tech stocks continue?
2022-08-11
S&P 500
S&P 500 had 3 battles between 4100 and 4200 in 2022, providing short-term reference points
FANG INDEX
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
FANG INDEX HAS FORMED A TRIPLE BOTTOMS ,THE PATTERN BECOMES A TRUE TRIPLE BOTTOMS A FTER PRICE CLOSED ABOVE 5520 TO UPSIDE TARGET ABOUT 6420
2022-08-10
US CPI
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Several tweets state that US core #inflation dropped for the fourth consecutive month. And while that is technically true, let me point out that in July, core CPI fell by 0.001 percentage points compared to June.
DOW JONES
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
DOW JONES INDEX HAS BEEN FORMING A BEARISH CRAB PATTERN , PATTERN‘S COMPLETION POINT AT 35450
NOTE: HOW THE CRAB AND DEEP CRAB PATTTERNS HAVE A STRONG MOVE TO REACH THE COMPLETION POINT
2022-08-09
BITCOIN
repeating fractal patterns show us the way
GOLD
GOLD IN MY OPINION FINISHED CORRECTION AS WAVE (4) THIS CORRECTION HAS BEGUN SINCE ROUGHLY A YEAR AGO, TAKING SHAPE SIDEWAYS AS REGULAR FLAT WAVE IN ELLIOTT WAVE
NOTE HOW THE SYMMETRY IN LENGTH BETWEEN WAVES A,B AND C
THIS IS CALLED REGULAR FLAT CORRECTION
DONT FORGET THE IMORTANCE OF THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT $1680 , WHICH HAD A ROLE IN STOPPING CORRECTION AND WAS A VERY GOOD BUYING POINT
2022-08-08
SENTIMENT
Sentiment remains neutral. Equity investors are still far from greedy
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR SEEMS TO BE COMPLETEING FIVE WAVE DOWN AS A
NOW WAVE B HAS COMMENCED , IT COULD HIT 150, OR 157
THEN ONE MORE MOVE DOWN TO COMPLETE WAVE C TO FINISH THE WAVE 2 ROUGHLY AT102
2022-08-05
US UNEPLYMENT RATE
The US Unemployment Rate moved down to 3.5% in July, back to pre-pandemic levels which are the lowest we've seen since 1969
NAAIM INDEX
The NAAIM Exposure Index stands at 55.28%. NAAIM members remain optimistic
2022-08-04
EARNINGS
Positive earnings growth continues to support the US stock market
2022-08-03
CRUDE OIL
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you buying the lower end of this range?
2022-08-02
FAANG
The bull case for stocks has to involve strong performance from the FAANG names. Gap higher for AMZN puts it near Fibonacci resistance around 140. Enough buying power to push above this key level of resistance
S&P 500
S&P 500 IS FORMING A BEARISH CRAB PATTERN , THE COMPLETION POINT OF THE PATTERN AT 4510
2022-08-01
S&P 500 SMART MONEY
Smart money is positioned for a massive upside move with a net long position in the futures market.
The SP500 combo hedgers position shows the net number of contracts (longs minus shorts) by commercial hedgers i.e smart money
REAL YIELDS 10YEAR , 5 YEAR ,2YEAR
Since the Fed meeting last week real yields have been falling across the curve. Here we can see both 5 and 2 Year Real Yields falling back into negative territory, while 10 Year Real Yields are dancing right above 0. :
2022-07-29
MICROSOFT
MICROST STOCK IS FORMING A BETTERFALY PATTER, COMPLETION POINT OF THE PATTERN AT $293MAY EXTEND TO 300
MARKETS
Is the disconnect between the US stock market and the US economy justified?
2022-07-28
SMALL CAP
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Will US small-cap value continue to outperform over the long term?
US GDP
US Economy in technical recession as GDP shrinks for a second quarter. Q2 GDP fell at a 0.9% annualized rate as inventories, residential investment subtract from growth after a 1.6% decline in the first three months of the year.
2022-07-27
US MONEY SUPPLY
The US Money Supply decreased 0.3% over the last 3 months, the largest 3-month decline in nearly two decades
US 10Y YIELD
US 10Y YIELD IS FORMING HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP, WHEN PRICE BREAK BELOW 2.7 WILLL CONFIRM PATTER AS A VALID AS ONE AND COULD HIT BELOW 2 AT 1.9
2022-07-26
AAPLE
All eyes on AAPL earnings this week - the overbought downturn presents a challenge - key chart levels include the 200- and 50-day MAs (~159/143) and cloud resistance
INFLATION
CPI -- U.S. YoY CPI and Fed. Target Rate
2022-07-22
VALUATION
Valuations are still elevated despite the decline in US stocks
BITCOIN
he MVRV Z-score shows that Bitcoin is in a generational buying zone.
This metric shows how many standard deviations the market value of Bitcoin differs from the realized value
2022-07-21
EQUITIES
FMS investors are most underweight equities since October 2008
GOLD
GOLD RETESTED THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT AT 1676 AND REBOUNDED FROM IT TO TRADE ABOVE 1700 LEVELS
BREAK OF THIS SUPPORT CONFIRM THE BEARISH OUTLOOK TO MORE DECLINE
2022-07-20
FED
Will the Fed pause if US inflation (PCE deflator) drops below 4%?
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