MICROST STOCK IS FORMING A BETTERFALY PATTER, COMPLETION POINT OF THE PATTERN AT $293MAY EXTEND TO 300
2022-07-29
2022-07-28
SMALL CAP
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Will US small-cap value continue to outperform over the long term?
US GDP
US Economy in technical recession as GDP shrinks for a second quarter. Q2 GDP fell at a 0.9% annualized rate as inventories, residential investment subtract from growth after a 1.6% decline in the first three months of the year.
2022-07-27
US MONEY SUPPLY
The US Money Supply decreased 0.3% over the last 3 months, the largest 3-month decline in nearly two decades
US 10Y YIELD
US 10Y YIELD IS FORMING HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP, WHEN PRICE BREAK BELOW 2.7 WILLL CONFIRM PATTER AS A VALID AS ONE AND COULD HIT BELOW 2 AT 1.9
2022-07-26
AAPLE
All eyes on AAPL earnings this week - the overbought downturn presents a challenge - key chart levels include the 200- and 50-day MAs (~159/143) and cloud resistance
INFLATION
CPI -- U.S. YoY CPI and Fed. Target Rate
2022-07-22
VALUATION
Valuations are still elevated despite the decline in US stocks
BITCOIN
he MVRV Z-score shows that Bitcoin is in a generational buying zone.
This metric shows how many standard deviations the market value of Bitcoin differs from the realized value
2022-07-21
EQUITIES
FMS investors are most underweight equities since October 2008
GOLD
GOLD RETESTED THE CRUCIAL SUPPORT AT 1676 AND REBOUNDED FROM IT TO TRADE ABOVE 1700 LEVELS
BREAK OF THIS SUPPORT CONFIRM THE BEARISH OUTLOOK TO MORE DECLINE
2022-07-20
FED
Will the Fed pause if US inflation (PCE deflator) drops below 4%?
GBP vs JPY
GBP/JPY PAIR IS FOMRMING A TRIANGLE ASCENDING WATING FOR MORE LIKELY UPSIDE BREAKOUT TO HIT 182
2022-07-19
HOUSING
Housing starts and building permits are trending lower, but are still pretty strong considering how far interest rates have risen
NASDAQ 100
NASDAQ 100 IS STILL TRADING BELOW THE 200MA BY FAR BUT TODY‘S SESSION IT MANGED TO CLIMB ABOVE THE 50MA
2022-07-18
XLK SECTOR
You may not be a "tech investor" but you must pay attention to how it is doing if you allocate to the major averages.
CRUDE OIL
CRUDE OIL HAS A SOLID SUPPORT IN RANGE OF 92-93 IS ABLE TO BRING THE PRICE BACK TO RETEST THE PREVIOUS PEAK AT 126.30
2022-07-15
BITCOIN vs S&P 500
Historically BTC outperforms the S&P500 coming out of market bottoms, but we think there might be more nuance this time around.
SENTIMENT
The Fear & Greed Index stands at 24, signaling extreme fear in the US stock market
GERMAN DAX INDEX
GERMAN DAX INDEX IS FORMING A BEARISH CRAB PATTERN THAT COMPLETE ROUGHLY AT 10885
2022-07-14
INFLATION
Fed funds futures now showing an **80%** chance of a 100 bps move at the Fed meeting later this month--something that hasn't happened in decades
EQUITY MARKETS
Asset managers and hedge funds have been boosting their short positions in US equity futures.
S&P 500
A SMALL DOUBLE TOP APPEARS IN DOWNSIDE TREND ACTS AS A COUNTINUATION PATTERN TO THE DOWNTREND SO CLOSES BELOW 3738 CONFIRMS THE PATTERN AS A VALID ONE TO DOWNDISE TARGET AT 3525
2022-07-08
كل عام وتنم بخير بمناسبه عيد الاضحى المبارك
كل عام وكل المسلمسن فى ارجاء الارض بخير وصحه وسعاده بمناسبه عيد الاضحى المبارك اعاده الله علينا باليمن والخير والبركات
وان يرقنا الله من فضله العام القادم ان نكون من حجاج بيت الله الحرام
اللهم امين
CRUDE OIL& NATURAL GAS
Both Crude Oil & Natural Gas are still holding above their 200-day Moving Averages. Until we see major breaks of key price levels the calls for peak energy seem a little premature
2022-07-07
BITCOIN
Cycles reflected bei RSI movement. Next bull run will come
BLOOMBERG COMMIDTY INDEX
BLOOMBERG COMMIDTY INDEX COMPLETED FIVE WAVES DOWN ,SUGGESTS THAT THE TOP IN PLACE AND THE UPTREND IN CHANGE ITS DIRECTION FROM UP TO DOWNTREND
SO IT IS VERY LIKELY WE WILL SEE LOWER INFLATION RATE NEXT MONTHS
2022-07-06
RECESSION
A recession has historically been preceded with at least 50% of yield curves inverting.
We’re still at 25%
ISM SERVICES BUSNESS
IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL
Upside move in ISM services business activity index provides little relief considering that the employment index fell below 50, matching the weakness in the ISM manufacturing employment index and a worrying sign for non-farm payrolls
2022-07-05
USD vs JPY
AN UPTREND IN JAPNESE YEN FORMING ASCENDING SACLLOP,WHEN PRICES STABILIZE ABOVE 135.60, THE CALCULTE UPWARD TAGET ROUGHLY AT 145
U CAN TAKE A POSITION AFTER PAIR BOTTOMED OUT AT 131.5
US DOLLAR
US DOLLAR HAS FORMED INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS ACTING AS A CONTINUATION OF THE UPWARD TREND
UPSIDE TARGET COULD BE IN RANGE 110-111
2022-07-04
ETHEREUM
Ethereum with a classic double whipsaw after a break from its inverse head and shoulders pattern.
Now back above the neckline and onto its inverse head and shoulders target
COMMODITY INDEX
Bloomberg commodity index has been on a massive decline.
This might be JUST what the CPI needs to rollover.
2022-07-01
COMMODITY PRICE CHANGES
There are signs that many commodity prices have rolled over, although still plenty of debate about oil prices
LONG RUN INFLATION EXPECTIONS
Long-run inflation expectations (5-yr/5yr basis) in the eurozone and US have been converging - perhaps not sustainable given different long-run demographic outlooks
BITCOIN
bitcoin illiquid supply is at a new all-time high.
The long-term holders are stacking… don’t be left watching
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