INSIDER TRANSSACTION RATIO

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

THE INSIDER TRANSSACTION RATIO IS BACK IN  THE BULLISH ZONE

NVIDIA

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

NVIDIA, HAS FORMED A DISTINCT BAT SELL PATTERN . THE COMPLETION POINT WAS AT $574, THE HANGING MAN CANDELSTICK CONFIRMED THE IDEAL REVERSAL , THE  SELL OFF EXCEEDED THA INTIAL TARGET AT $534 AND ALSO THE SECOND TARGET AT $508 IT MAY CONTINUE THE REST OF FIBO MERASURMENTS LIKE 78.6% OR 88.6% .WE DID WANT A REVERSAL CANDELSTICK PAIRED WITH THE BULLISH HIDDEN DIVERGANCE TO GET INTO LONG TRADE 

NOTICE:- I STILL SAY THE SHORT TRADE(YO REALIZE A PROFIT FROM THE DIFFERENCE  IN PRAICE BETWEEN THE BORROWED STOCKS FOR WHICH U PAY INTEREST FOR IT ALSO U SELL IT  WITHOUT HAVING IT ,THEN BUYBACK IT

ACCORDING TO ISLAM  SHORTING A STOCK OR ANY OTHER ASSET  IS FORBIDDEN FOR THE TWO REASONS  ABOVE MENTIONED 

THIS TRADIN IN ISLAM IS CALLED USURY, AND USURY  IS FORBIDDEN

Who killed the French teacher ?!

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

 France is an oasis of democracy, and the mother of freedoms

According to an investigation prepared by the French Channel 2 entitled (The State Lies), the investigations of the French judiciary proved that in 1994 - during the black decade in Algeria - the French Foreign Intelligence coordinated with the Algerian Military Intelligence to kidnap the French consul in Algeria !!!

Indeed, the consul, his wife, and the security official at the consulate were kidnapped, and they were hidden for a week.

On the same day of the kidnapping - carried out by the intelligence service - the French government announced that a terrorist group in Algeria affiliated with the Armed Islamic Group had kidnapped the French consul and his wife!

On the same night, the French authorities carried out a security campaign against the Algerians in Paris and all of France, during which several Islamic institutions were raided, and many Islamists were arrested, and among its results was the dissolution of dozens of associations, the closure of two radio stations and a newspaper, and other Islamic activities.

During that campaign, Hossein Krouj - an official of an association - was arrested, and after his arrest, the police distributed a statement to the media affiliated with the Islamic Group in Algeria claiming the kidnapping, and the French police claimed that he was in Krouj’s possession, which is evidence of Krug’s association with terrorists !!

A week later, an anchor appeared in the news bulletin announcing that the valiant security forces were able to free the hostages unharmed, and after half an hour they were transferred to Paris.

In a press conference, the consul’s wife said: The terrorists treated us well, but we were about to be killed on the fifth day, because the terrorists quarreled over the wine in the refrigerator !! She said that she was surprised when the terrorists brought her the medicine that she uses for her chronic disease, and she wondered, with astonishment: How did they know about patients? And what kind of medicine did he use ??

After this statement, France sent the consul and his wife to New Zealand, and prevented them from any media permission, and they stayed there for ten years.

Years later, in 2002, a police officer suffering from cancer came to a French court seeking to discharge him and testify, in which he said:

"In 1994 I participated in a campaign of arrests against the Algerian opposition - Islamists - in France, and the head of the police station ordered me to place a statement - prepared by the police - in Hussein Krouj's wallet after his arrest, attributed to some Algerian Islamists announcing their kidnapping of the French consul in Algeria and his wife.

The French judiciary ruled to compensate Hossein Krouj, 2.2 million euros, for the five years he spent in prison unjustly, and sentenced the head of the police station who invaded the false statement to prison.

Crusader France, a European country that declares itself an oasis of democracy and the mother of freedoms in the world, kidnapped its consul in another country to justify a campaign against innocent people!

* Do you know now who killed the French teacher and beheaded ?! *

Transported

SILVER vs GBP/USD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

WE HAVE NOTICED THAT THERE IS A POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN SILVER AND STERLING , ESPECIALLY SINCE MARCH LOWS ,THIS RELATION  WAS VERY CLEAR,BUT THE NOTICEABLE THING THAT THE SILVER LEADS THE WAY, IN THE SAME TIME IT SHOWS A WEAKNEES AND DONT CONFIRMS  THE SILVER‘S TOPS ,WHICH MAKE A  NEGATIVE DIVERGANCE BETWEEN THEM , FOLLOWED BY  SHARP DECLINE SPECIFICALLY, SILVER

N THE BIRTH DAY OF THE GRETEST PROPHETS AND MESSENENGERS " MUHAMMAD PEACE AND BLESSINGS OF ALLAH BE UPON HIM

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

IN THE BIRTH DAY OF THE GRETEST PROPHETS AND MESSENENGERS ,12 RABI AL-AWWAL

I DON‘T KNOW SICE WHEN THE ABUSE BECAME FREEDOM OF SPEECH

ISLAM AND MUHAMMAD( PEACE AND BLESSINGS OF ALLAH BE UPON HIM) ARE  TO TAUGHT US RESPECT OTHER RELIGIONS AND BELIEVE IN ALL MESSENGERS ALLAH SENT THEM AND RESPECT THEM ALSO ,THIS THE CORE OF OUR BELIEF 

THIS IS ISLAM AND THIS IS MUHAMMAD PEACE AND BLESSINGS OF ALLAH BE UPON HIM, MR MCRON

CRUDE OIL

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH TH MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFULL

 DECLINE FROM $43.65 WAS WAVE A ,  THEN WAVE B HAS COMPLETED AS A TRAINGLE AT $41.90, AFTER THAT. CRUDE OIL HAS COMMENCED TH C WAVE WHICH HAS A DOWNSIDE TARGET COULD HIT $34

HOMESTAKE MINING CO

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

FOR THOSE INTERESTED IN HOW THE PRICE OF HOMESTAKE DID DURING THE DEPRESSION

DOW JONES

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

DOW SO FAR PLUNGED ABOUT 2400PT SINCE 12/10/2020, I LIKELY  US INDICES COMPLETED FIVE WAVES UP , AND MIGHBE DIVING INTO  DEEP CORRECTION AS WAVE 2

IF THIS INTERPRETATION IS CORRECT , WE PREDICT DOW REACH TO24500-25000. BUT TO CONFIRM  THIS PROBABILITY  PRICES SHOULD BREAK DOWN 26537, ALSO BREAKOUT 26537 CONFIRM THE DOUBLE TOP  AS BIENG VALID  ONE , WE COULD CONSIDER THE COMPLETION AND REACHING TO ITS TARGET AT 24000-24500 ANOTHER EIVDANCE  FAVORS  OUR ELLIOTT COUNT  

STOCKS VS DIVIDENT YIELDS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

THE GREEN CIRCLES ON THE SPX CHART SHOW WHEN DIVIDENT YIELDS ARE GRATER THAN 10 YEAR BOND YIELDS STOCKS ARE RELATIVELY CHEAP- 3 PERIODS IN THE LAST 25 YEARS

2012.2016,2020

GOLD HAS NOT PROVIIDED A HEDGE AGAINST RECENT EQUITY VOLATILITY

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

Gold has not provided a hedge against recent equity volatility. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has crushed it

SEASONALITY & PRESDENTIAL CYCLE & JUNK BONDS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOSR GRACIOUS THE MOST MER CIFUL

SEASONALITY

Seasonality first is the fluctuations of the cycle that occur regularly or less than quasi-regular during a certain time series, for example the holy month of Ramadan in which consumption increases among Arabs in general and Egyptians in particular, and consequently the prices of most commodities rise and this is called the seasonal month of Ramadan, offset in America by the rise in gasoline prices at the start of the season Summer holidays, of course, each has its own seasonal market, such as the markets for energy, bonds, commodities, etc. Even the economic statistics themselves found that they are seasonal, but without going into details we focus on stock markets and try as much as possible to summarize the huge amount of information I have, there is a study from 1970- 2005, they found that the best market periods are from 1 / 11-30 / 4, so the saying “SELL IN MAY AND BUYING BACK IN NOVEMEBER” became famous. Of course, there are other studies in which this study has been revoked, but let us focus on the months that are almost unanimous, in which there are about 5 distinct months, such as January This alone is his example, so that they think that it is the key month for the whole year. JAN EFFECT. Personally, I spoke about it at the beginning of the current year on 2/2/2020 and 2/3/2020 and the statistics that I did, which extended for 100 years, about the impact of January, whether on the month of February Air or the closing of December or the close of the same year, and I want to refer to this statistic at the following address: https: //stockcharts-home.blogspot.com /.../ 1985-2018-3112 ... In general, January is usually positive and I will not explain its reasons, but Its effect extends to February, during which the fluctuations are high, as well as the months of September and October, especially October, whose performance is often negative. As for November, it is often a positive month, and December is negative because of the sale of lost stocks and obtaining tax reductions, which explains why January is often positive. With the rush of investors to buy shares, which they sold at lower prices in January

A way to benefit from seasonality?

Certainly, when you know periods of strength in the market in which you work and periods of inactivity, you will take advantage of the periods of activity in it in your favor and try to maximize your earnings and in periods of inactivity, your capital can be rotated in other active markets or even other sectors characterized by strong activity in periods of inactivity, in which people can not appreciate the value of time In investing, time for big investors means TIME IS MONEY

Presidential session: PRESDENTIAL CYCLE

In fact, it is called the 40-month cycle, and it was customary to call it the four-year cycle, and with its occurrence coinciding with the American elections, it was called the presidential cycle, and since 1832, the American markets rose 577% during the last two years of the head cycle compared to 81% during the first two years, and it was found that the third year of S & P500 revenues were the largest Also, in the last two years of the presidency, the ruling party tends to reduce interest rates in order to ensure that it is elected for another period as well. It was found that the rest of the countries that do not hold elections every 4 years are affected by this cycle due to the strength of the US economy and its impact on the global economy as well as the US financial markets because of the link Positive correlation between the markets, so we have seen Trump throughout the past period in a dispute with the President of the US Federal Reserve because of the issue of the interest rate reduction.

Junk Bonds: JUNK BONDS

junk bonds are taken as an indication of the risk appetite of investors to invest in risky assets such as stocks, so that investors start to pick up the federal policy that he mentioned last May in buying corporate bonds with BB rating, which is the highest rating that bad bonds reach, meaning the lower the rating for this. Bonds, risk increases, in which BBB means, and then enter into classification C with grades and then D grades, but it is striking that the junk bond market is growing in a big way, and nearly until 2015, it reached 1.3 trillion dollars. It is striking that from May to September, the bad bond market was growing from a month ago. To the end, the month of August achieved the second largest record in issuance after June of $ 53 billion, and it is strange that Paul Corp., an aluminum packaging company, sold 1.3 billion of bad bonds for ten years with a yield of $ 2.875, which is the lowest return ever for these bonds, and despite that, the demand was for them. When we compare, for example, the day in which these bonds were sold, with a yield of 2.875%, which is the lowest return on American treasury bonds for ten years, it was 0.59%, even high-quality companies like Apple At the same time, bonds were issued with a yield of 1.22%, often the return of poor bonds would be two numbers between 11% -14%. Ask Egypt and the countries that resemble the last issuance of their bonds. The return was almost as if it was not less than 6%

SEASONALITY & PRESDENTIAL CYCLE & JUNK BONDS SEASONALITY & PRESDENTIAL CYCLE & JUNK BONDS

SEASONALITY

Seasonality first is the fluctuation of the cycle that occurs regularly or less almost regularly during a specific time series, for example

Junk Bonds: JUNK BONDS

Bad bonds are taken as an indication of the risk appetite of investors to invest in risky assets such as stocks, so that investors start to pick up the federal policy that he mentioned last May in buying corporate bonds with BB rating, which is the highest rating that bad bonds reach, meaning the lower the rating for this. Bonds, risk increases, in which BBB means, and then enter into classification C with grades and then D grades, but it is striking that the junk bond market is growing in a big way, and nearly until 2015, it reached 1.3 trillion dollars. It is striking that from May to September, the bad bond market was growing from a month ago. To the end, the month of August achieved the second largest record in issuance after June of $ 53 billion, and it is strange that Paul Corp., an aluminum packaging company, sold 1.3 billion of bad bonds for ten years with a yield of $ 2.875, which is the lowest return ever for these bonds, and despite that, the demand was for them. When we compare, for example, the day in which these bonds were sold, with a yield of 2.875%, which is the lowest return on American treasury bonds for ten years, it was 0.59%, even high-quality companies like Apple At the same time, bonds were issued with a yield of 1.22%, often the return of poor bonds would be two numbers between 11% -14%. Ask Egypt and the countries that resemble the last issuance of their bonds. The return was almost as if it was not less than 6%

In sum, in this matter, the appetite for risk is already present among the investors, and it is likely that the markets are on a date with new peaks, perhaps beginning from the beginning of the year, and as long as the federation's head is present and print, Zaki, his ability, the risk appetite must be present. From the American elections, but the real fear and anxiety that is not accounted for until this moment is the second closure of the major economies in the event of the development of Covid-19 cases, may God bless us and you

EUR vs USD UPDATE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

EUR/USD DAILY CHART

WE NEED FIVE WAVES UP TO MANIFEST THE FOURTH BOTTOM IN PLACE, OR THE ALTERNATE COUNT MINOR WAVE W OR A OF TRIANGLE WILL BE ADMISSIBLE

BREAKOUT 1.1831 MEANS BULLISH BAMM TRIGGER TO AT LEAST 1.1966 IF THE PATTERN IS  BAT SELL PATTERN OR AT 1.2250 IF THE PATTER WILL A CRAB SELL PATTERN. THE LAST PROBABILITY  CORRESPONDS WITH  THE COMPLETION OF THE MINUTE FIFTH WAVE OF MINOR C WAVE OF INTERMEDIATE (B) WAVE OR THE SECOND (2) INTERMEDIATE WAVE,HOWEVER  ACCORDING  TO BOTH  INTERPRETATIOS, EURO IS SUPPOSED TO  GET INTO A DEEP CORRECTION

US10 NOTE YIELD REACTION TO GLOBAL SLOWDOWNS SINCE 1950

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

GLOBAL SLOWDOWNS DO NOT OCCUR OFTEN. THE US 10Y TREASURY NOTE YIELD IS CURRENTLY FOLLOWING THE AVERAGE HISTORICAL TREND

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SECTOR (XLY)

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SECTOR, LIKE TECH SECTOR  , THE RECOVER FOR BORH OF THEM  WAS REMARKBALE, AND MADE A NEW  RECORD HIGH , BUT LATELY THERE HAS BEEN SOME WEAKNESS IN THE PERFORMABE OF THE SECTOR, IT COULD NOT ESTABLISHED ABOVE THE PREVIOUS HIGH, AND TRAY TO FORMING UNEVEN DOUBLE TOP, BUT I THINK  THE LOWER  PARALLEL MEDIAN LINE WILL PREVNET THE FALLING OF PRICES AT ROUGHLY 150, ALSO PROCES WILL FIND ANOTHER SUPPORT REPRESENTED IN THE LOWER  TRGGER LINE AROUNF 145, SO 145-150 IS STRONG SUPPORT ZONE

SMALL CAPS TO LARGE CAPS SINCE 1925

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

SMALL CAPS RELATIVE TO LARGE CAPS

UPTREND:  SMALL CAPS OUTPERFORM

DOWNTREND LARGE CAPS OUTPERFORM

RUSELL 2000

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

SOME USED TO THAT THE RECOVERY  WAS LIMITED TO THE LARGE CAPS IN MEJOR INDICES, BUT WHEN WE LOOK AT THE RUSELL 2000 INDEX WE FIND THAT THE SMALL, MEDIUM STOCKS ALSO ARE DOING WELL , THIS INDEX RECOVERED ABOUT 90% OF ITS LOSS FROM MARCH LOWS UP-TO DATE,AND EVEN IF IT RIDES A CORRECIION WAVE,ITS A TENTATIVE TIME, US INDICES WILL LIKELY MAKE ANOTHER NEW ALL TIME HIGHS  ROUGHLY AT THE NEW YEAR

CORRELATION BETWEEN SP500 AND GDP

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

HERE IS THE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE S&P 500 AND THE US GDP

DOLLAR INDEX

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

I WAS NOT SATISFIED WITH THE US DOLLAR HAD COMPLETED THE 5 WAVES DOWN AT 91.72, BECAUSE THE ADAVANC FOLLOWING THAT DECLINE WAS CORRECTIVE IN NATURE, IT IS THREE, NOT FIVE WAVES ADVANCE TO BE CONVINCED THAT THE BOTTOM IS IN PLACE, THEN DOLLAR BREAK BELOW  THE KEY SUPPORT 92.70 TO PROVIDE MORE ARGEMENTS THAT THE LOW OF 91.72 WILL LIKELY BE BROKEN 

IF  MY VIEW WAS CORRECT ,WE ASSUME DOLLAR HAS COMMENCED TO CORRECT WAVE FIVE , AND GET INTO WAVE THREE OF FIVE, IF SO , WE ARE LIKELY TO SEE A SHARP DECLINE ,TAKES PRICE DOWN TO 91.20 IF WAVE FIVE WILL BE  CLEAN FIVE WAVES NOT AN ENDING DIAGONAL

RECOVERY TRACKERS HAVE BEEN FLAT FOR THE PAST TOW MONTHS OR SO

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

NOT V SHAPED 90% RECOVERY

GLOBAL RECOVERY TRACKER IS UNAMBIGUOUS

GBP vs USD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

IT SEEMS BERXIT TALK TO REACH A DEAL BYMID NOVEMBER, AND HOPES FOR A FISCAL STI DEAL IN THE UNITED STATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO THE STERLING POUND ADVANCE, AND THE DOLLAR  IS COMING UNDER PRESSURE, WE‘RE SEEING  A LONG TALL CANDELSTICK TODAY AS A RESULT  OF THESE NEWS

ALSO WE HAVE HEAD AND SHOULDERS BOTTOM I PREFER TO  USE THE HIGHEST HIGH AT 1.3084 INSEAD NICKLINE , SO CLOSING ABOVE THIS LEVEL MAKE THE PATTERN VALID  TO UPSIDE PRICE TARGET AT 1.3495

MOMENTUM AND BREADTH

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

MOMENTUM AND BREADTH ARE DECENT WITH SOME 70% OF STOCKS ABOVE THIER 50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE

AAPL UPDAT

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

AAPL, DAILY CHART

DESCENDING SCALLOP ON THE CHART,UPWARD BREAKOUT ABOVE 125 TO GET  PRICE TARGET 160, OR DOWNWARD BREAKOUT BELOW 103 TO GET DOWNSIDE TARGET  TO 68

ENEREGY STOCKS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

ARE ENGERY STOCKS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY

ACCORDING TO  ABOVE GRAPH  ENERGY STOCKS IA TRADING AT BELOW BOOK VALUE

TESLA

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

TESLA IS ON TRACK , AS WE MENTIONED ON CHART 2  TESLA  IS STILL UNFOLDING AS  A SYMMETRICAL TRAINGLE, WE HAVE 2 KEY LEVELS, ONE OF THEM ABOVE $466 IT MEANS THAT THE FOURTH WAVE CORRECTION  IN PLACE AND WAVE FIVE HAS COMMENCED, THE 2ND ONE BELOW $406 WHICH MEANS  CORRECTION OF WAVE FOUR UNFINESHED YET

US CPI INFLATION

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

CPI CONRIBUTIONS AND FORECAST

STOCK/BOND RATIO

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

TOTAL POSITIONING IN STOCKS MINUS BONDSSPIKING TO THE THE 2ND HIGHEST CLUSTER IN HISTORY

NOTE, OCT 2018 WAS THE STRUCTURAL PEAK IN STOCKS RELATIVE TO BONDS THESE ARE HISTORIC IMBLANCES BUILDING ACROSS MAJOR ASSET CLASSES AT SIGNIFICANT REISK OF A LARGE DISRUPTION EVENT

DOW JONES

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

INCREDIBLE STRUCTURE, THE DISTINICT PATTERN EXEMPLIFIED ALL THE IDEAL  ELEMENTS OF A BEARISH CRAB, THE TIGHT CONVERGENCE OF THE 1.618 XA LEG AND THE BC PROJECTION AT 29200-29300 AREA YIELDED AN EXACT REVERSAL AND OUTLINED A PERFECT SITUATION AND A TRADING OPPORTUNITY

NOTICE:- THE WEAK BEARISH DIVERGENCE AND THE TWEEZERS TOP CANDELSTICK(IT IS POSSIBLE TO OVERLOOK THE CANDELSTICK PATTERN AS BEARISH ENGULFING PATTERN) ARE CONFIRMED THE IDEAL REVERSAL

AFTER AN IDEAL REVERSAL OCCURRED  , DOW JONES  WAS HEADING DOWN TOWARD THE 0.382 INTIAL DOWNSIDE TARGET WHICH CONVERGED WITH  THE UPTRENDLINE  CONFIRMING THE IMOPRATANCE OF SUPPORT AT 27450, PRICE BOUNCED OFF IT SHORTLY, BUT IT IS BROKEN AGAIN TO HITS THE SECOND TARGET AT 0.618 AT 26500

FINALLY PRICES RALLIED TOWARD THE OLD HIGH AND  THE 26500 LEVEL WAS TRIGGERED THE LONG TRADE AT LEAST TO OLD HIGH  AT 29200

(FORTUNATTELY THE SECOND TARGET OF HARMONIC PATTERN  AT 0.618 AS SHOWN COINCIDES WITH THE BULLISH BAMM TRIGGER TECHNIQE ALMOST AROUND 26500-26600

BULLISH BAMM TRIGGER IS A TECHNIQE SIMLAR TO A DOUBLE BOTTOM  WHEN IT HAS BEEN COMPLETED  TO BE A VALID OONE, AND THE VISE VERSA) SO ABOVE 26600 WAS SIGNIFICANT LEVEL TO ENTRY LONG TRADE UNTILL THE COMPLETION OF HARMONIC PATTERN AT 29100 OR RE-ENTRY  WHEN PRICE REBOUNED FROM 26500 AS A 2ND OPPORTUNITY TO ANOTHER LONG TRADE,THAT HAS BEEN CONFIRMED BY   FORMING A BULLISH  CANDELSTICK PATTERNS ARE CALLED THRUSTING  AND BULLISH  ENGULFING

S&P 500 UPDATE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

S&P 500 IS STILL IN SIDEWAYS SO FAR, WE NEED TO BREAKOUT THE OLD HIGH  TO GET OUT THE SIDEWAYS AREA

A DECISIVE BREAKOUT OF SHORT TERM UPTREND AND OVERLAPING WITH 3431  INDICATE THAT THE TOP IN PLACE, AND PRICES ARE HEADING  LOWER AS WAVE C ,OR Y TO COMPLETE THE FOURTH WAVE

S&P 500 NEEDS A FIVE WAVES UP  TO ARGUE THE FOURTH WAVE CORRECTION  IS OVER

AUD vs JPY

IN THE NAMR PF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

AUD/JPY IS FORMONG  INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS ,MIGHT THE PAIR RETEST  THE CRITICAL SUPPORT AT 69.95 TO MAKE A SYMMERTICAL SHOULDERS

ANYWAY. CLOSING ABOVE 78.5 IS REQUIRED TO  INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS FOR BEING A VALID ONE  AND CONTINUE HIGHER

EUROPE S&M CAPS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

EUROPE SMALL& MID- CAPS HAVE BROKENOUT

US DOLLAR (TREND MIRRORS)

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

US DOLLAR ON HOURLY CHART  

WE USE WHAT IS CALLED TRENDLINE MIRRORS TECHNIQUE

NOTICE HOW THE VERTICAL DISTANCE AT THE  RECENT PEAK AT POINT A(WIDEST DISTANCE BTWEEN A TO B) MIRRORS THE DROP TO D

THE AB MOVE UPWARD REFLECTS ACROSS THE TRENDLINE ALMOST EXACTLY  TO CD 

WE CAN PREDICT ADOWNDIDE TARGET TO 92

LTC vs USD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

LITECOIN ON 60M CHART

HEAD AND SHOULDERS BOTTO INTO BUMP AND RUN  REVERSAL BOTTOM , BREAKOUT THE DOWNTRENDALOMST AT 51,MAKE  A HEAD AND SHOULDERS PRICE TARGET AT 55 AVILABLE,THEN  ESTABLISHING ABOVE 51 MAKE THE ULTIMATE TARGET AT OLD HIGH AT 68

AUD vs USD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

WHEN WE‘RE LOOKING  AT AUD/USD CHART,WE CAN SEE  LIKE AN INVERTED MIRRORS

BUSTED DOUBLE BOTTOM FOLLOWED BY SHARP DECLINE,THEN A REBOUND IS  BUSTED  DOUBLE TOP TOO, SO I ANTICIPATE FURTHER UPSIDE

BELOW KEY LEVEL0.70960 FORGET ANY  RISE

EUR/USD GOLDMAN SACHS EXPECTATIONS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFU

ACCORDING TO GOLDMAN SACHS, THE PAIR EUR/USD IS EXPECTED TO RISE FURTHER

According to Goldman Sachs, the pair EUR/USD is expected to rise further

GOLD UPDATE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

AS MENTIONED IN EALIER ANALYSIS, THE MINOR WAVE FOUR  WAS  UNFOLDING AS A ZIGZAG PATTERN, A RISE IN FIVE WAVES OR MOVE ABOVE KEY LEVEL $1973 IS REQIRED TO HINT THE FOURTH CORRECTION IS COMPLETE, AND GOLD  IS HEADING UP  FOR FURTHER UPSIDE TO COMPLETE WAVE FIVE OF INTERMRDIATE(3),WHICH IS LIKELY MAKE  A NEW ALL TIME HIGH AROUND $2150

NOTICE:- DUE TO  THIS COUNT ,GOLD IS SUPPOSED TO BE IN A THIRD SUB WAVE, THAT ‘S MEAN ,WE SHOULD SEE GOLD  IN SHRP MOVE UP AND POSITIVE MOMENTUM 

STOCKS DOWN MORE THAN 20% FROM 52 WK HIGH

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

A MASSIVE 40% OF SPX STOCKS ARE STILL DOWN 20% FROM THIER HIGHS. THIS GAUGE PEAKED IN JUNE, ITS NOT JUST A NARROW MARKET, ITS  ONE OF THE WEAKEST IN HISTORY

UNLESS THERE‘S SUBTANTIAL IMPROVEMENT SOON, ANY SELLING OF THE BIGGEST 5 LEADERS COULD TRIGGER A MAJOR DECLINE

ARE S&P 500 AND BITCOIN IN A POSITIVE REALTIONSHIP ?

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

MAY SOME PEOPLE DONT BE WANT TO CALL THE REALTIONSHIP BETWEEN S&P 500 AND BITCOIN POSITIVE REALTIONSHIP !!, SO WHAT THE HELL CAN WE CALL IT 

USD& US 10YRS YIELD CURVE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

MARKET CONSENSUS IS FIRMLY DOLLAR BEARISH, DUE TO THE FED ANCHORING NOMINAL US YIELDS, LEAVING LITTLE UPSIDE FOR USD

BUT THAT‘S NOT RIGHT , ITS INCREASINGLY THE VERY LONG END OF THE YIELD CURVE THAT‘S DRIVING THE DOLLAR AND THAT END IS MOVING RAPIDLY IN FAVOR OF USD(RED

RIPPLE XRP vs USD

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

RIPPLE‘S XRP / USD HAS COMLTED A SIGNIFICANT BEARISH BAT HARMONIC PATTERN 

THE 0.886 RETRACEMENT AT $32.7 WAS THE DEFINIG UPSIDE LIMIT FOR  THIS SETUP, AS  THE XRP REVERSED QUICKLY AFTER TESTING THIS AREA

THE INITIAL PROFIT TARGET SET AT 0.382 RETRACEMENT OF AD AT $24.5, THE SECOND TARGET TRADED DOWN TO THE 0.618 AD AT $19.25, IF PRICE TARGETS WERE EXCEEDED THE 0.618, THE MEASUREMENTS OF THE 0.786,0.886,1.1.27 SHOULD BE CONSIDERED AS WELL

COVER THE SHORT ABOVE 25 OR 35, AND PLACE STOP LOSS BELOW 17 OR 15

INDEXED YTD RETURN

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

THE FIVE LARGEST STOCKS HAVE NOW RETURNED +39% TTD(YEAR TO DATE), WHILE THE REMAINING 495 STOCKS HAVE RETURWND -1%

😮😲WHAT A GAP 

S&P 500 (FUNDAMENTAL & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS)

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

FUNDAMENTALLY SPEAKING:- WHEN WE‘RE LOOKING AT THE BIGGER PICTURE OF S&P 500, WE CAN MIX BETWEEN  AN ELLIOTT WAVES THEORY AND CLASSIC ANALYSIS

SINCE 2018 STOCK MARKETS  WERE IN A HIGH VOLATILITY, BECAUSE THE ECONOMIC CYCLE WAS NEARLY OF ITS PEAK , AND  WE NOTED THE INVERTED YIELD CURVE LAST YEAR AS A CRITICAL EVIDENCE THAT THERE ARE A BROBLEMS IN THE ECONOMIC CYCLE, IT IS CALLED JUGLER CYCLE IT IS A SHORT-TERM ECONOMIC CYCLE WHOSE DUARTION WAS BETWEEN  9-11 YEARS EXTENDED FROM THE CLIMACTIC BOTTOM OF 2009 UNTIL EARLY  2020 

TECHNICALLY SPEAKING :- AS I STATED ABOVE STOCK MARKTES  WERE IN A HIGH VOLATILITY ,SINCE 2018, THE BROADENING TOP WAS THE CHART PATTERN THAT HONESTLY EXPRESSING THE EXTREEMS IN VOLATILITY

(, HIGHER HIGHS ,LOWER LOWS  LIKE A MEGAPHONE APPEARANCE) 

I DO THINK BROADENING TOP HAS 60% BREAKOUT UPWARD,WHICH COINCIDES WITH ELLIOTT COUNTING ,THAT THE UPHILL FROM 2009 LOWS UNTILL EARLY 2020 PEAK  IS IN IMPLUSIVE BEHAVIOR, AND AN EXPANDING TRIANGLE (BROADENING TOP) WAS THE    PRIMARY WAVE 4,  AND CLIMACTIC MARCH  2020 MARKET BOTTOM WAS THE END UP OF PRIMARY WAVE 4,STILL ANOTHER PUSH HIGHER TO COMPLETE  THE FIVE WAVES UP SEQUENCE OF CYCLE DGREE

MIGHTBE, BOUNCING OF MARCH LOW UNTIL SEPT‘S PEAK WAS  THE THIRD WAVE OF MINOR DGREE,ALSO MINOR WAVE 4 IS COMPLETEDOR IS STILL ONGOING

BUT IF THE  RALLY FROM MARCH LOWS WAS AN INTERMEDIATE WAVE (1) OF PRIMARY WAVE FIVE OF CYCLE WAVE FIVE, SO DIPPER CORRECTION AHEAD 

BUT ANY CORRECTION TAKES PREICES LOWER  BEFORE MARCH LOWS AS WAVE (2) IS CONSIDER A PARTIAL DECLINE  IN BROADENDING TOP WHICH WORKS 76% OF THE TIME

DOW JONES

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

WE‘RE IN A CONSOLIDATING PATTERN ,WHETHER THIS PATTERN IS AN INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS OR AN ELLIOTT TRIANGLE

DONT NEGATE THAT THERE IS ANOTHER POSSIBILITY, WHICH IS  THE FIVE WAVES UP ADVANCE IS ENDED UP  , AND CORRECTION  HAS BEEN TAKING PLACE AS WAVE (2)  WHICH  MEANS DIPPER CORRECTION AHEAD

IN FINANCIAL MARKETS  THERE IS NO GARANTEE 

PUT ALL POSSIBILITIES, AND TRADING  THE DOMINANT TREND

VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS DESPITE RISE IN US STOCKS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

VIX REMINS AT HIGH LEVELS DESPITE THE MARKET RALLY

MORE VOLATILITY AHEAD

NOTICE :-  THE PULLBACK TO UPSIDE COULD BE  A COUNTER-TREND OR A PART OF  SIDEWAYS↝↝ JUST BE AWARE  

👀 👀   

NDX100

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

NDX100 IS FORMING  HEAD AND SHOULDERS BOTTOM , THE PATTERN CONFIRMS AS A VALID ONE  WHEN PRICE COLSES  ABOVE 11600

THE UPSIDE PRICE TARGET SET AT 12500

S&P 500 & THE 35 WEEK CYCLE

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

S&P 500 IS APPROACHING THE NEXT MAJOR TURN, THE 35 WEEK CYCLE THAT‘S DUE BETWEEN THE 3RD WEEK OF OCTOBER AND THE 1ST WEEK OF NOVEMBER, ITS UNCLEAR YET WHETHER A HIGH OR  A LOW

NEXT WEEK SHOULD BE DECISIVE AS A MOVE ABOVE 3395 WILL BE BULLISH WHILE A MOVE BELOW 3300 WILL BE BEARISH

AAPL UPDATE

 

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

A DISTINCT CRAB SELL PATTER IS FORMING ON  AAPL STOCK , THE RANGE OF $128-$129.5 IS  THE POTETIAL REVERSAL  ZONE TO COMPLEMENT OF  THE PATTERN

NOTICE:- PRICE PULLEDBACK  TO CLOSING THE GAP UP IN THE RANGE OF  11285-11221, AND DID NOT FALL BELOW THE LOW OF 111.75 WHICH IS GOOD TO CONTINUE HIGHER, LOOK AT  THE PREVIOUS GAP ON THE LEFT AND THE PRICE BEHAVIOR THAT FOLLOWED IT

THE WORLD‘S BIGGEST GOLD MINES

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

 😁INFESTING IN GLD, MIGHT INTERST U

CRUDE OIL

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST HRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

I DO THINK OIL HAS FINSHED TWO SEGMENTS OF  CORRECTION, WAVE A AND B, WHEN WE LOOK AT GRAPH 2 , WAVE B ALMOST IS COMPLETED AT  THE SPECIFIC RANGE WHICH IS DEFINED PREVIOUSLY AT $39-$41, SO BREAKING THE $36 LEVEL CONFIRMS THAT  B WAVE IN PLACE,BUT IF PRICES REMIN ABOVE 36, IT SUGGESTS OIL GET INTO MORE SIDEWAYS AND B WAVE  IS STILL UNFOLDING AS A TRIANGLE

HOWEVER, BREAKING OF 36 PUSH ING OIL PRICES  LOWER TO AT LEAST $33 OR EVEN LOWER

 I BELIEVE WEAK ECONONMIC GROWTH ACROSS THE GLOBE AND TARDY LABOR MARKET IN THE US IS NOT A GOOD MIXTURE FOR THE ENERGY MARKET

REMEMBER IT WELL:- $36 IS A KEY LEVEL SHOULD NOT BE BROKEN IN THE WEEKS AHEAD

PROBABLITY OF US RECESSION OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

THE PROBABLITY OF US RECESSION OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS ,CALCULAT FROM THE YIELD CURVE DECREASED TO 20% IN SEPTEBER

THE S&P 500 EPS ESTIMATES UNDER DIFFERENT POLICY SCENARIOS

IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST GRACIOUS THE MOST MERCIFUL

THE S&P 500 EPS FORCAST DEPENDS ON FISCAL STIMULUS AND CORPORATE TAX REFORM